one can associate a probability that something is true for things that can be tested. For instance, quantum electrodynamics has been shown by experiment to be accurate within 1 part in 10,000,000,000,000,000. With a very high degree of certainty (maybe 99.99999% certainty), I can say that the mathematics of QED is an accurate description of reality.
However, no probability can be given for the existence of a god. I could ask 100 people about the existence of a god, and it would be a reasonable result to get 50 people that say there is a 0% chance a god exists and 50 people that say there is a 100% probability.
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