you are asking us to speculate on short term manipulations?
I don't speculate, I buy in where I feel comfortable and I don't look back because I am not to looking to cash out anytime soon. You would do much better in the equities market for that.
here is how I see things
to me, gold/silver is money.
dollars or paper or even electronic transactions are mediums of exchange. sometimes gold/silver (PMs) can be mediums of exchange but much less often.
money is a storage of wealth
wealth is your assets minus liabilities
money must meet five requirements
it must be
5)hard to duplicate (counterfeit)
think about this for a bit and then think about how many pieces of paper you want to exchange to have physical in your possession.
in the final analysis, its a game of confidence...all things being equal if two bubbles pop, one being paper (the dollar) and the other being gold/silver...which would you rather have in your hand?