Comment: Why cling to the simplest explanation possible?

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In post: I'm a Skeptic

SteveMT's picture

Why cling to the simplest explanation possible?

Razor Theory: "If you have two theories that both explain the observed facts, then you should use the simplest until more evidence comes along"
Example
Central Dogma of Biochemistry:
DNA ---> RNA ---> Protein This dogma worked great until RNA reverse transcriptase, RNA replicase, and prions were found. It's now a lot more complicated than previously thought.

How many "conspiracy theories" already have been proven to be correct? I'm not making up this stuff. It is the truth.

1. JFK: Scientific acoustical evidence establishes a high probability that two gunmen fired at President John F. Kennedy. The committee believes, on the basis of the evidence available to it, that President John F. Kennedy was probably assassinated as a result of a conspiracy.
http://www.archives.gov/research/jfk/select-committee-report...

2. Vietnam War started by a lie. The Gulf of Tonkin Incident never happened:

"the reported second attack by North Vietnamese PT boats on 4 August never happened and that "SIGINT information was presented in such a manner as to preclude responsible decision makers in the Johnson administration from having the complete and objective narrative of events of 4 August 1964."
"many historians now believe the supposed attack by North
Vietnam naval forces on the Desoto patrol on 4 August did not occur."
http://www.nsa.gov/public_info/declass/gulf_of_tonkin/articl...
"Congress authorized the war after Johnson contended that American warships had been attacked by North Vietnamese patrol boats in the Gulf of Tonkin on Aug. 4, 1964. The attack never happened, as a report declassified by the National Security Agency in 2005 made clear. The American ships had been firing at radar shadows on a dark night."
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/07/us/07mcnamara.html?pagewan...

3. FDR foreknowledge about Pearly harbor is already posted on the Daily Paul.

4. Big Bang Theory Hoax - This one is very close:

Halton C. Arp is a professional astronomer who, earlier in his career, was Edwin Hubble's assistant. He found that high redshift values do not necessarily mean that objects are far away; high redshift quasars that are symmetrically located on either side of their parent low redshift galaxies. Mainstream astrophysicists try to explain away Arp's observations of connected galaxies and quasars as being "illusions" or "coincidences of apparent location". The large number of physically associated large red shift quasars and low red shift galaxies that he has photographed and cataloged defies that evasion. It simply happens too often. Because of Arp's photos, the assumption that high red shift objects have to be very far away - on which the "Big Bang" theory and all of "accepted cosmology" is based - is proven to be wrong! The Big Bang theory is therefore falsified.
http://electric-cosmos.org/arp.htm