Comment: I'm not very bright, myself

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I'm not very bright, myself

I'm so dull that when I turn on a light, my IQ goes up..

To answer the question of 'why' there will be some kind of attack, either done by, facilitated by, or allowed to happen by the intelligence services is because a particularly bloody attack is a sure way of getting people to DEMAND more surveillance and control.

Attack=funding.
No attack = question: "why do we need the FBI/CIA/NSA"

My peas-sized reptilian brain thinks such an event is likely, though not guaranteed.

There are no guarantees.