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Sitrep

On the Eve of War: Situation Report
Aug 28, 2013

What You Need to Know
Between Aug 26-28, AlertsUSA issued the following
Flash messages to subscriber mobile devices:
8/27
Overnight: Russia and China warn US over striking Syria, US diplomatic and mil facilities worldwide on heightened alert, world stock markets down, oil rising.

8/26
War Prep: Sources report Western fighter jets and transports have begun arriving at Britain's Akrotiri airbase on Cyprus, ~ 100 miles from Syrian coast.

8/26
SecState Kerry: "All evidence says chem weapons used in Syria." Syria & Iran threaten retaliation against Israel w/strategic weapons if attacked by US / allies.

Be advised that the U.S. could be at war in Syria within hours.
One by one European nations are making public statements on being in agreement with intelligence showing that chemical weapons were used in Syria and the nation's military being the guilty party. Just this morning NATO Chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen, former Prime Minister of Denmark, stated that use of such weapons was "unacceptable and cannot go unanswered."

Israel has put their foreign embassies worldwide on high alert and is calling up military reserves. Russia is continuing the evacuation of citizens from Syria (estimated during peace time between 50-100K). Airports in the region are surging with departures. Reports out of Syria indicate the government is evacuating defense and intelligence-related facilities throughout Damascus.

Jordanian officials say there will be no attacks launched on Syria from their soil though it is already widely known the U.S. and allied forces have been building up within the country for months (see this and this). Iran's PressTV is also reporting that U.S. forces are massing on the Jordan-Syria border. The 22 member of the Arab League are urging 'deterrent' measures', though not explicitly calling for military action.

A short time ago, both China and Russia issued another warning about striking Syria.
Timing
While modern warfare is easily carried out anytime of the day or night, it is likely an attack on Syria will be launched during late night or early morning hours. There are several reasons for this, but most importantly, it minimizes civilian deaths as most are at home and not around target sites.

Damascus is 7 hours ahead of New York. Thus, 5:00PM in New York is 12:00AM in Damascus.
What This Means to You
In addition to ramifications for defense forces, early on it is highly likely Americans will see much higher gas prices. According to the French multinational banking and financial services company Socit Gnrale S.A.
, the world could see an immediate spike in oil prices as high as $150 per barrel (Brent), ultimately settling back to $125 per barrel. This will immediately translate into higher prices at the gas pump. If these higher prices remain (for instance, due to a widening of the war and oil and gas infrastructure damaged or destroyed), expect higher prices for food and goods due to increased transportation costs.

Additionally, it is common for financial markets to sell off during wartime as investors move towards safety and stability.

As reported to AlertsUSA subscribers on 8/27, Syria and Iran have stated that the first retaliatory step would be to attack Israel using strategic weapons. If such an attack takes place, it is hard to imagine Israel not responding with a heavy fist. If an attack on Israel comes from Iran
, the conflict will widen quickly and dramatically.

Russia and China have repeatedly warned the U.S. against direct military action in Syria. Both have openly vowed to protect Iran at all costs, even if it meant starting another world war.

And as a final note, the international terror organization Hezbollah, has repeatedly warned over the last two years that any attack on Syria or Iran would result in attacks on U.S. citizens and interests worldwide
, including within the continental U.S.