Fill the Quill - Mission Accomplished!
Posted September 20th, 2007 by Michael Nystrom
in
At 10:15pm ET on Thursday night, the Ron Paul campaign has so far reached a total of 1490 donations out of a total goal of 1787. One more day to go? Think we can make it? I know we can. Please click over to the campaign site and donate!
Sorry for not posting this sooner - I have had an unusually busy week this week, and was in meetings all day today. As you may or may not know, this website is largely the volunteer work of one person (me). I try to keep it updated as best as I can, but I also have a regular job, as well as a family to attend to.
If you have time during the day, and are interested in helping to keep the front page content of this site updated, please contact me using the contact form above. The next few weeks are going to be very busy for me, as I'm having relative in from out of town for an extended visit, and we will be doing some traveling as well.
Many thanks for your understanding and support!
Michael Nystrom
Editor
www.dailypaul.com
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Killed it,
Bah, never got to see 2008 because they restarted it.
I think that was a bad choice on their end.
I agree
I agree they shouldn't have reset it as it would have been nice to see the final tally.
On another note, although I'm happy to see the goal was met, I'm a little disappointed by the count after a week. This seemed to be a high priority on the Ron Paul 2008 site, and I can only hope that when it comes time to vote there are more people that respond to an important call to arms. Evidently freedom isn't worth that much to people, or so it seems. With all of the support I see Dr. Paul getting in his revolution, I would have thought the quill would have been filled at least once a day. Just my thoughts.
Would have been nice.
I don't know about the rest of us, but i never even saw it till this morning, and got right on it. *shrug* As nice as the Ronpaul2008 site is, it doesn't warrant my visit very often because i get all my information here.
1946
Lol... Looks like they restarted it at 1946. It's all good though - they met the original goal - now it says "Fill the quill, again!"
1939
1939 at 5:10pm cst
Getting close!
1908 donations as of 4:23 pm EST - 100 to go to make it 2008!
Why National Polls Don't Matter
If we assume that similar thing as 2004 can happen in 2008, we should not care at all about the numbers from any National Scientific Polls. There is this precedence of Kerry jumping from 4% in Dec/2003 to 53% after NH in 2004 in CBS National Poll.
We should just keep working hard and ignore the poll numbers, Ron Paul can make it independent of any poll number.
[b]Also we should be very careful, as Michigan may be before IA and NH this year.[/b]
"[b]Why National Primary Polls Don't Matter[/b]
Some more time out from the hospital room (where things are going decently okay - thank you for your thoughts and prayers) for a reminder of why national primary polls don?t matter at this stage in the game. I will be using the 2004 Democratic primary as a backdrop for this presentation.
Exhibit A: a [b]poll from December 2003 - mere weeks away from the Iowa caucuses[/b]:
CBS News Poll, December 14-16, 2003
Dean - 23%
Clark - 10%
Lieberman - 10%
Gephardt - 6%
Sharpton - 5%
[b]Kerry - 4%[/b]
Edwards - 2%
Al Sharpton was beating John Kerry in the national polls. Al Sharpton. The day before the Iowa caucuses, CBS released another national primary poll where John Kerry managed to climb into 4th place nationally with a whopping 7% of the vote.
Now, Exhibit B: [b]that same poll taken just after Iowa and New Hampshire[/b]:
[b]Kerry - 53%[/b]
Dean - 8%
Edwards - 7%
Sharpton - 4%
So Kerry wins Iowa and New Hampshire, and his numbers skyrocket to nearly 8 times what they were. What effect did winning just Iowa have on the national numbers? For that, we can turn to Opinion Dynamics. [b]The week before Iowa the caucuses[/b]:
Dean - 20%
Clark - 13%
Lieberman - 8%
Gephardt - 7%
[b]Kerry - 7%[/b]
Now, [b]taken two days after Kerry wins Iowa and before the New Hampshire primaries[/b], these are what the national numbers were:
[b]Kerry - 29%[/b]
Dean - 17%
Edwards - 13%
Clark -11%
Lieberman - 5%
Just winning Iowa was worth a quadrupling of Kerry?s national numbers.
This pattern can be found in any poll results from 2003/04. USA Today, for example, had the race nationally at 26-24 Dean over Clark the week before Iowa, with Kerry at 9%. One week after Iowa, the national numbers became 49-14 Kerry over Dean. At the point we are at in this primary in 2003, USA Today had Kerry in fourth place behind Lieberman, Gephardt, and Dean in that order - and that was before Clark entered the race and Kerry dropped to fifth nationally.
Newsweek had the race at 24-12 Dean over Clark before Iowa. After Iowa but before New Hampshire, the race became 30-13 Kerry over Edwards, and after New Hampshire the race was 48-13 Kerry over Dean.
In Quinnipiac polls, Kerry?s national numbers before Iowa were at 8%. After Iowa, they jumped to 30%. After New Hampshire, they jumped to 42%. AP polls showed Kerry in fifth place at 5% nationally heading into Iowa. Pew showed him in fifth place with 7%.
You can go through literally dozens of polls that show the same effect, which all lead me to one conclusion: national primary poll numbers don?t matter. What matters is winning early states and riding that momentum. Because, as big of a day as February 5, 2008 is going to be, it is going to come nearly a month after Iowa. And it only takes one day for momentum from Iowa to change the whole race.
by Matt C @ 4:51 pm. Filed under Presidential History, Poll Watch"
Source: http://race42008.com/2007...
donate now
Your exactly right... i'm afraid that if we do not get Ron Paul in as President , at sometime the revolution will turn violent. I got my donation in.. at 7 this morning there were only 1632 or so donations to fill the quill.
now it is 1:00 mountian time and there are 1858! I made my donation And I too plan to donate another 250.00 next month!! RON PAUL IN 08!!!
Just donated,1843 now. I
Just donated,1843 now.
I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies.The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people to whom it properly belongs.
Thomas Jefferson
2008
Good idea, not that many more to go, lets do it.
1805
1805 at 10:55 cst
1792 donations at 16:29 GMT
if we can reach 2k..
We did it!
11:21 am EST... We did it! 1787 donations for "Constitution Week"! We can't stop now though - We should shoot for a total of 2008 donations.
Almost there!
As of 8am, there was exactly 1687 people who have donated. Now it's 1690. Just 97 more people and the goal is met. This will be done soon I'm sure!
37 now
anyone else?
Check paypal for leftover money from any ebay sales!
Thank you for your generous donation of $24.42!
Look in any other online accounts you may have that you used to use frequently but don't anymore. I think I have at least 50-100 in a Poker account that's not used anymore.
Spencer
This Page
Michael,
You do an EXCELLENT job with this page. I run a web page for my HighSchool Alumni so I know it's not easy to keep something updated....
and your site has new things every single day!!!!
Never underestimate how important your site is!!!!! Your site is like our life line for everyone to link up Meetups and individual supporters alike.
I don't know how much I can do to help you with the site....but if you'd like to Email me with perticulars...I'll let you know if I think I can do it. =)
I'm short on money but big on time.... ;p
Later Gator,
Jan
(JanBrennan1970@yahoo.com)
Hopefully it will not get to the point of a lethal Revolution
Let's fight now while its still a safe Revolution by donating.
I donated 100 so far and plan to give another donation before the quarter is out. Its the least I could do.
RonPaul2008.com
Please, donate!
I have donated $150 today and maxed out my $2,300 limit.
Please, help Ron Paul!
Just donated
If everyone who donated last quarter would donate four times that amount this quarter, Ron Paul will raise $12 million. That would be a huge boost, and , huge, huge news that the MSM couldn't ignore! If you donated $25 last quarter, that means $100 this quarter. $100 last quarter means $400 this quarter. I know that may be a stretch for many of us.
But remember, Ron Paul is our last best chance at saving the country. How often do you get to participate in a real, live revolution? Please donate what you can.
Michael