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Lesson from New Hampshire

Its been said many times by Ron Paul Patriots that, the
“People are misinformed. In New Hampshire, 44% of Republicans who DISAPPROVE of the war in Iraq yet voted for John McCain”

This is incorrect.

People where very well informed.

Despite that, they voted for John McCain.

Here is the exit poll source that many people site, saying that New Hampshire voters somehow "got it wrong".

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTI...

Upon review, I beg to differ, they got it right. How could this be? This is because most voters, 95%, are "Rational Voters". So how do "Rational Voters" vote? What is so important for THEM? --- as opposed to Ideological Voters like us who make up 5% of the voting public?

Look at the link. Most voters did not think Ron Paul a “viable” candidate who “had a chance” to win. Voting for Ron Paul was a “wasted vote”. That is the lesson to be learned, not that we failed to get the message out.

For candidates seeking public office, VIABILITY is like a golfer's sand traps. Rational voters do not pay attention to candidates stuck in these political sand traps. Pay close attention because Rational Voters make up 95% of all the voters anywhere there is an election. Rational Voters are voters who seek to make their vote “count”, and so will not vote for a fringe candidate, no mater what.

Hence, what was a RATIONAL republican voter to do? Recall that a RATIONAL voter is by definition someone whose vote is not ideological, but “practical”. That is they do not wish to “Waste” their vote. So, not wanting to waste their vote, the choices for the antiwar Republican was, Huckabee, McCain, Giuliani, and Romney. Now, who would YOU vote for given these 4 choices? They went with the most liberal among them, John McCain.

What does this mean? This means that the Ron Paul campaign failed to make Dr. Paul a VIABLE presidential candidate. His ideas and warnings were to be listened too and considered, but NOT the man himself. The Ron Paul Campaign staff allowed the MSM to time and again “frame” Dr. Paul’s Campaign as NOT VIABLE, NOT HAVING A CHANCE, AN OUTSIDER, a wasted vote…etc. The Ron Paul campaign never purchased air time Specifically to OVER COME this Number ONE Hurdle of all candidates for ANY office ANYWHERE, which is you must be viable candidate.

Why am I telling you this? Because we all must learn our lesson from New Hampshire, not repeat a campaign falsehood that came out of New Hampshire.

The lesson we must learn is that it is 100% necessary to be sure the voting public sees our candidates as VIABLE candidates, which means he/she has a GOOD chance to win. The Rational Voter will not WAIST their vote on “fringe” candidates (unless they are terribly angry at the “viable” ones).

The LESSON: Revolutionary Candidates can never be seen as Fringe Candidates. Dr. Paul, must never be thought of as Fringe. We must fight and argue to the death that our Ron Paul is indeed a VIABLE candidate worthy of the Rational Voters support. Never forget, this is how 95% of all voters, left and right, THINK. First comes Viability so I do not “waste my vote”, then comes the Personality, then comes the Vision, then last comes the issues. That is HOW a Rational Voter goes about his/her thinking and voting. Unlike the ideological voter, they spend just enough time to get to that decision. They are selfish rational voters, not dwelling over the issues and candidates for more than a month. Why? Because in the larger scheme of things, the Rational Voter has better things to do with his/her TIME.

Rational Voter’s Decision Matrix: {note, the Rational voter will take a few weeks to a month, seriously thinking and reading}

1) --Candidate Viability; Simply put, “Will I be wasting my vote or does this person have a real shot at winning?” {Here enters name recognition & credentials}

2) --Candidate Personality; Simply put, “Do I like him/her?” {Here is where trust, honesty, religion, ethnic group, etc come into play}

3) --Candidate’s Vision; Simply put, “Do I feel good listening to what he/she is hoping/trying to do?”

4) --Candidate on the Issues; Simply put, “Do I agree with the candidate on the issues?”

5) --Candidate’s competition: Simply put, “Does this person ‘seem’ better than the competition?”

Finally, the Rational Voter casts his/her vote…..based on the above, they choose McCain. Once this happened, South Carolina Rational Voters had FEWER choices, and so did Florida Rational Voters, and by Super TUESDAY the Rational Voter had two choices, "McCain & Romney". They chose McCain on Super Tuesday and Romney suspended his campaign.

The Rational Voter is split with Obama and Hillary. Perception has it split, yet Obama has the delegate win and there is nothing Hillary Can do but work on the Super Delegates and and try to increase her VIABILITY position among the public, (hence offered to Obama the VP seat). She seeks to increase the perception of Viability, thus should the Super delegates give her the nomination, the voting public will think it "fair". For Obama, he needs to end this race now and unite the party fast, just as John McCain is trying to do. The General Election is 99% Rational Voters, most Ideological Voters have by then dropped out.

Contrast this decision matrix above, with the decision matrix below that most Ideological Voters go through.

Ideological voters Decision Matrix: {remember, less than 5% of the voters are ideological voters, the rest are Rational Voters}

1) -- Candidate ideological/philosophical/economic/vision: Simply put, “do I agree with him/her ”

2) -- Candidate’s Personality: Simply put, “Do I like him/her?”

3) -- Candidate On the Issues; Simply put, “Is the candidate showing courage and speaking straight to the issues?” Bravery is respected.

Finally, the Ideological Voter casts his/her vote….. {note, the ideological voter will take many months, perhaps a year, thinking and reading}

So Please post up the correct lesson to be learned from the New Hampshire experience-----Viability is everything !! Indeed, it is step one.

The MSM media knows the above, thus they know where their power lies, in perception of Viability. But Campaign money can buy advertising and good advertising will make one appear viable, hence the instant Respect Ron Paul received after the two big money bombs. Unfortunately for us in the revolution, Campaign Headquarters blew most of their money on a 5 page New Hampshire brochure, and NEVER EVER sought TV ads to do Damage Control over Ron Paul's perceived Viability Problem. Campaign HQ did jump upon every FREE MSM news interview event for Ron Paul, but they
FAILED miserably in fighting what MSM did to Ron Paul, which is FRAME his campaign as marginal, fringe, NOT VIABLE. Wisely placed TV ads on the right news shows could have COUNTERED this message.

I am asking that all of us in the Revolution, to wise up on the VIABILITY issue and its amazing importance to the Rational Voter.

Lets not be foolish children and fail to learn our $30 million dollar lesson.

Treg / Ron Paul meet up / Tempe, AZ

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MSM determines viability

MSM determines electibility.. (basically the same thing as viability).

Guys like Ron Paul are ideologically for the destruction of the status quo in which MSM enjoys significant power. That's why so many are so fooled by Obama. He looks different on the outside, but more of the same on the inside.

Ross Perot showed up on Larry King

with a THIN message on deficits, debt and our grandchildren and, before he flaked out, led both Clinton & Bush in the race for the presidency.

All he said was "put me on the ballot in 50 states and I'll run. I'll fix Washington. I'm Ross and you're the boss."

A similar opportunity existed/exists now. If I were Sabrin or Forsythe or the others I would seize the basic tenets of the liberty movement and hammer, hammer, hammer them to the sheeple. Larry Lepard was a generous patriot but his ad was too wide to speak to sheeple.

-JP

Bingo!

This is why I have been saying since BEFORE New Hampshire, we have to create an alternate media outlet for those not comfortable YouTubing.
You should be seeing "A Call to Arms: IRS" in an email nearest you very soon. A lot of people are also comfortable with WAV video files emailed to them from friends.

HOWEVER, the biggest place Ron Paul's campaign staff screwed up was by not paying the expenses of credible individuals such as Michael Scheuer to either go on the campaign trail with Ron, or, at least, produce a video to show at "town hall" meetings and demonstrate that Ron Paul's positions have credibility as well. The MSM have managed to conceal this remarkably well, especially that hypocrite Keith Olbermann, who professes the strongest antiwar position of any MSM commentator, yet has not even once mentioned Ron Paul's name on his MSNBC show in the five months since I started watching.

Amazing, missed opportunities...

A lot of pros would have come to the campaign's aid...had they been asked, or given the courtesy of a reply, when they are making BIG, GENEROUS offers, like Dr. Steve, who *shockingly* hasn't gotten a decent reply from them for all the hard work he's been doing educating us all about the delegate process.

And when moneybombs initiators requesting help like..."could you give us a date when Dr. Paul may be interviewed on Coast to Coast, so we can have a decent amount of time to set up a moneybomb?"

I myself once wrote HQ imploring them to hire Rev. John Killiam (love this guy to pieces)... and said "give him anything he wants...and have him introduce Dr. Paul at every event, or campaign for him". Man, he really gets you going and is such a crowd pleaser!

No response. *crickets*

Maybe you've seen this...just get past the first minute...

Ron Paul gets 81% in Alabama Straw Poll (part 1 of 2)
http://www.youtube.com/wa...

...and there are many economists such as Mish Shedlock...a HUGE Ron Paul fan (!)....going way back, and writes often about him...check it out...

http://tinyurl.com/3bc3r7

Sun 03.30 >>Host Art Bell...First Hour: Financial analyst Mish Shedlock will provide an update on the economy.

Be bold, and mighty forces will come your way ~

Wide creates Fringe. Thin, plus money, creates viability.

Wide is twenty issues including the NAU, FISA, medical marijuana, abortion, etc ... issues the media loves to seize upon... being screamed out by an army of supporters.

Thin says "Warfare is Big Government"
Thin says "Welfare is Big Government"
Thin says "Paper Money & Entitlements are Big Government."

No candidate can/could say these 3 things except Ron Paul and RP republicans. None. Not any of the other 10 GOP candidates for President, not any of the Democrats including fringers like Gravel and Kucinich.

Our simple thin message plus early money would have been a good formula for viability. We went too wide and MUST NOT do that again with liberty candidates for Congress.

Sorry, it's no lesson for me, have been singing about viability since october.

-JP

K.I.S.S

That is so true. Thin is in!

Keep the message simple is indeed the right way to go to clinch the Rational Voter. Keep the message wide for those Ideological Voters in the field doing battle on your behalf.

Treg

"Waste", not "Waist".

"Waste", not "Waist".

Ooops! Thanks!

Thanks, a good scrivener is always highly prized.

Good analysis and commentary.

As a NH voter I thought the Paul official campaign to be ineffectual. RP could have done well in NH if there had been any sort of strategy. Counteracting the MSM perceptions should have been part of that strategy.

More focused on delegates now

The campaign has given up, calling our delegate strategy " a miracle" that probably won't happen. Don't care about national candidates, just care about delegates-get our people, your friends and family and meetup members into the convention. If we have a majority of delegates that's our foot in the door, and if you aren't a delegate volunteer at the national convention.

Dr. Ron Paul will, and must, be heard if our delegates make up the majority.

Voting for McCain is logical?

McCain can't win

Viability

In the interests of viability, not to pick nits:

"Waste" or "wasted" not "waist" or "waisted." The first signifies trash or drunkeness, and the second refers to one's mid-section or a style of clothing.

And "let's" has an apostrophe since it contracts "let us." (Okay, this one was a nit-pick.)

The points being made are good ones, and I really wouldn't have objected to the spelling if it wasn't such a key word that you put it in ALL CAPS.

Really. I often see misspellings and don't say anything. Somebody put "To" when they meant "Too" in a heading earlier today. I didn't say a thing. Even though it completely changed the meaning.

IMissLiberty

Ooops! Thanks!

A good scrivener is always highly prized.

www.blackboxvoting.org

discrepency between hand-counted precincts and machine counted

diebold

security at ballot storage

etc

etc

paul at least came in second in NH and obama first.

fix is in folks, that is why the delegate process is so important....