HAVING PROBLEMS VIEWING THE SITE? GET FIREFOX! | A NOTE ON ADVERTISING

   

The Breaking Point?????????

Well, I just went to the beach for the past couple of days...and it was so nice, because I am able to go mid-week, when all of the hotels are more than 1/2 off, and nobody is around, so my girlfriend and I had the entire beach, and shops to ourselves. The hotels must be really hurting, because we got a $200 room for $59 a night. As we were on our adventure, we were looking at all of the "For Sale" signs on beach front homes. Their were a lot of them. Every flier we picked up was "INSANE". A little house on the coast of Oregon, on the water......very run down, $2,095,000. We looked at a couple other little houses on the Oregon coast, and all of them that were a couple blocks away from the beach were over $1,500,000. Me personally could never afford one of these homes. We had fun looking and dreaming. Now to my point....

As I was driving back Friday morning, we were the only car going home, with lines of cars heading to the coast. Big SUV's with boats, and motor homes, etc. Gas is $4.00 a gallon for regular and close to $5.00 a gallon for diesel at the coast...and my question is this? Does anybody really care what the price of gas is? Is it actually hurting the average joe? Does everybody just accept what is going on? The most expensive part of this entire trip was the gas......I drive an Acura, and it was $130 to fill it up twice. Granted, we drove a lot, but this was by far the biggest expense on our 3 day get away.

I own a small car audio store, and we are very busy. Loading up boats with $3000 stereos every day. We are so busy, it is hard to handle? Why?

What recession?

When is the breaking point? $6, $8, $10 a gallon, or does it really matter? I just don't get it? I have read everything about the economy....I have my garden planted, and I have food storage, I have silver and gold>>>>>.....so what is going on??

It would be very interesting to here your thoughts?

output

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

I have

been reading and answering all of your posts for hours....Thank you. I have to go to bed. Please tell me more...and tomorrow I will respond to the posts. Good night. Thanks again for helping me understand.

Takeaction

Apparently we are not answering your question. I think the reason we are not answering it is because we have never witnessed a breaking point like we are going to see this time. If this was a normal recession or even depression, everyone might not get hit. But this ain't no normal situation we got on our hands here. This is going to be different and we don't KNOW how it will happen this time. Might be slow, might be crashing fast. I personally think it will be the later and it will happen I think when the banks really feel our suffering too.

Yep

Your post is taken to heart. I think you are right. We have never experienced anything like this...so the answers are like "Throwing darts in the dark.". It will be a very interesting 24 months.

Thank you for your post....very eye opening!

reply

Whoever wins the election is walking into one helluva mess, 8 years of Bush has brought this country to it's knees. There is a huge illusion of prosperity in this country because working and saving doesn't drive the economy, it is debt that drives it. Only about 1% of the population has real wealth, with most everyone else it is all about how much debt they can carry, the day is coming sooner rather than later that the credit is going to dry up and I mean fast. The housing market and credit cards were the last line of defense for this economy and now the game is over, couple that with a criminal government writing hot checks to fund an illegal war and that is just for starters and we are looking at rough times ahead. The signs of the trouble will not be noticed for awhile but it is coming like a runaway train, one thing is for sure and that is our standard of living is going way down as a lack of credit and cash will put the economy in deflation.

I agree

But you did not answer my question??? Where is the breaking point?? Or does it just continue like this in "Slow Erosion" mode?

further reply

Maybe not so much a sudden incident but more of a long emergency, we are in it right now.

The sky has fallen!

The sky has fallen!

I have one last comment on this "Breaking Point"

You have to realize that some people are already at the breaking point. There are tent cities here in my state of California. Some families in Michigan are pushing their belongings along in a shopping cart. I recently went to a post office in a sligtly run down area on a weekend, and couldn't get into the front door because there was a guy asleep with his wife in the small area in front of the door. I could tell they were newly homeless, in other words no experience sleeping on the streets. All this at the same time your business is "booming". That's the weirdness of economics. Not everything affects everyone at the same time - until a large enough crisis happens...

Okay After looking at this....

I here you. The "Weirdness" of economics that you are talking about has not been seen yet in Oregon. That is why I am asking? When does the "Crisis" happen? Tell me when the breaking point is......is it slow, and nobody really notices? Or is it all at once? Help me here. I am not discounting what you have witnessed, I am just trying to learn?

The breaking point comes when people

change their decision making. It's when the majority of Americans stop buying things they don't really need to survive, like new clothes or electronics. It's when bankers and businesses around the world that hold dollars decide they are losing too much purchasing power to hold onto dollars, or fear that people are dumping dollars because of economic problems in the U.S. and they don't want to be the only one left holding them. When will people come to these decisions? That's hard to say. My belief is that we get closer and closer to that as things get worse, though.

Ask the Zimbabweians.

Ask the Zimbabweians.

I was canvassing my

I was canvassing my neighborhood the other day and I was shocked at how many vacant houses there were, at least two on every single street sometimes more. Some for rent, some foreclosed with auction notices. The for rent signs have been up for months with no one renting.

The average Joe does not have a clue, They know somethings wrong but think it will blow over like it always has. Hundreds of thousands are losing their jobs but out of three hundred million that doesn't seem like much yet.

The rich folks that can afford vacation homes at the beach are still going to drive their SUVs even at ten dollars a gallon as long as they still have their incomes. It is the middle class that is getting wiped out. But it will spread to the rich eventually.

However as it continues then things will reach a tipping point. It is just not painful enough yet and the clueless think it will blow over. Don't worry or should say do worry it's coming it is only a matter of time.

-----
Please Visit New Freelanders
Self Reliance & Preparedness Forums

I think your

right! Even in times of depression, many people became millionaires. A small percentage will reap huge profits from the coming economic collapse.

If you own a bar, you will become wealthy. If you own an apartment complex, you will become wealthy. If you have the cash to buy up the distressed properties, you will become wealthy. It is a very simple equation. The middle class is being eroded in my opinion. Either you have it...or you do not have it. With the number of foreclosures that are happening now, of course if you own rental properties, you will come out ahead. All of the people that are losing their homes need a place to live....

I found a house on the water that somebody paid $1,100,000 for 3 years ago, that is in foreclosure, and bank owned (now) and it is on the market for $599,000 and still scares me. I am going to offer them $430,000. We will see what happens.

This is a rare opportunity for some, and a disaster for others.

My view for Takeaction

I come from a small town, there are several factories, some fast food joints, several retail stores, bars, a bunch of hurting car lots, and a couple of furniture stores, but it's mostly the factories that keep this town going. One of the factories went overseas and another one is laying off right now due to the economy. Its slow all over here, most of the retail stores here have not brought in much new merchandise and there are 70% off racks everywhere. One of my good friends noticed this too. She went shopping for a new outfit and commented on how dead the retail stores are. Her husband also told her no more spending and he makes 140,000 a year, for this area thats a great job. I recently got laid off from my job at a furniture store, due to the sluggish economy ( no one's buying furniture and appliances here unless it's an emergency ) It got to be so slow, we were lucky to see 4 customers a day, and half of them headed up to the parts counter. Many people I know are not driving thier vehicles unless they HAVE too, some have resorted to using thier motorcycles full time ( if they have one ) most people I know are living off of credit cards or borrowing money from fast cash places or depending on relatives, but how long will that hold out? I really think that people are holding on to faith, that the government will step in and fix the gas situation. They have no clue. I tried to tell one of my good friends about why gas will not go down, he said that I need to find more joy in life! People dont want to be told the truth. Deep down they know, but they dont want to know. They are in a state of denial. Denial only lasts so long when you are out of work, with no food on the table. I know this sounds doom and gloom, but here most people are a couple of paychecks away from the streets.

WOW!!!

Thank you. I have not witnessed this for myself. Thank you for the post. Again......I am asking....for YOU??? Where is the breaking point?

The Breaking Point

Is right now for me and it has been for a while. I will survive. I dont need fancy clothes or big diamonds, or a giant house. I have simplefied my life. I have knowledge and the bible writes that is more valueable than gold. Once I awoke from my indocrination and realized how deep we are in it and how long this has been going on, that was my breaking point and there is no going back. Once I realized how controlled and manipulated we really are and have been for decades the point was broken right there. But I am one person. I need millions like me to acomplish the goals of freedom and liberty. I am afraid its going to get ugly too fast and we might not have a chance to gain back what has been lost. Really though, has any poor person EVER made a difference alone? Only when we rise up by the thousands will they take notice. We cant give up no matter the outcome. That's why I admire the people of Palestine, they throw rocks and use thier bodies against Israel's mortar and rockets. They are surrounded, but they will never give up and niether will I.

The breaking point comes when

you are more afraid of staying what you are then being what you can become.

Peace

This is what I am looking for.....

Thank you for the post. Your post hits me so hard....you don't understand. People are just trying to hold onto what they have, rather than trying to move forward. You are so right. Your post hits HARD! Is this how you feel right now?

Yes

I feel the same way. No one I know is saving, it's all going in the gas tank and for food and energy.

I would like to get some discussions going on

the thread below. Knowing how this will pan out would be a huge advantage. Anyone with information please share.

http://www.dailypaul.com/...

My informed guess??

Well, with what I am seeing personally, I think we are going to have a huge "Deflation". And the reason that I think this, is because I feel the entire world economy will come to a halt. In the begging...like we are seeing now, you will see the stock market go up, and everything will go up...but their has to be an end. Their is a point where people just can not afford their current lifestyle. So some people say oil will be back to $70 a barrel...?? Well, I think this is entirely possible, because the credit markets are locked up, the dollar has nowhere to go except down, and the average "Joe" is screwed.

Food prices are through the roof, and the average day to day living are becoming unbearable in some cases from what I am reading. I am not seeing it personally, but I read all of your posts to understand what is going on. Am I in dream land for a temporary moment?? My business is booming, and people are spending like crazy? I don't get it?

My 2 cents.

My Friend is a

Director at the YMCA in the West End of Richmond VA. This is an upscale area with McMansions on postage stamp lots. I would say if you drove through that area it would definitely be defined as Upper Middle Class. Most Y's offer financial assistance for people who use their after school child services and summer related sessions. This is dolled out on an as needed case by case basis. I am assuming that they discount the tuition costs associated with attending these programs. He and I were talking the other day and he said, "you wouldn't believe the families I meet with who apply for financial assistance" I asked him how many single Mom's working two jobs live within proximity to his YMCA. (I was thinking in stereotypical terms as they relate to the images in my head of who is appling for the assistance while at the same time being familiar with the ritzy area where it is located) He responded "that is the unbelievable part, the Mom and Dad's who come live in 380 to 420 thousand dollar homes and have SUV's etc....but when we go through the qualifying procedure and the necessary paperwork they indeed qualify for the financial assistance we provide"......in other words they are way over their heads/house poor/living on credit/ whatever you want to call it. This is the slow motion train wreck analogy just starting.....

haha

I'm originally from Virginia and proud to be from there!, yea, I'm southern upper middle class, but I don't think thats ritzy, I lived in a colonial style home like all other folks in Virginia and the Carolina's and such. Virginia in general has fairly well off people living within the state except in the ghetto of Richmond!! Now the gas price is definitily hurting everyone, everyone complains about it and it effects people no matter how rich they are in one way or another, it effects them and how much they will spend on other things.

But

Where is the "Breaking Point" for you in gas prices, or do you care? If gas is $8 a gallon will it affect your life?

Many of the people that I talk to, do not care......if gas is $12 a gallon, they will still drive and pay it. Bottom line.......

I am afraid

that you are right. Even though my business is "Booming", please excuse the pun since it is a car audio store....I really feel after reading all of the comments here, and after reading all of the economic reports, we are heading for doom. I think that what I am seeing in my business is a "False" boost in the economy, and I really feel it is temporary. But then I have to question myself? Am I reading too many DOOMSDAY posts? Am I just reading all negative and falling into a bad thought process? Am I just reading bad stuff...and thinking bad? A lot of posts on the DP are "Doomsday" type posts that stick with me. Am I crazy? Am I just falling for a bunch of Internet garbage? Or is it real? That is what I am asking?

My favorite threads are from "Honorgod" and "Sieberht", and whenever they post, I read and read, and they have called many things to be right on. Especially "Honorgods" thread "Economic Crisis", or the thread "Do you have your garden ready?".

Am I falling into a path that is non-constructive?

This is tough for me.....

That is why I appreciate every persons input...

Maybe my views are skewed??

I look at it like this........

Ron Paul has been giving very accurate forecasts for 30 years. He has provided some amazing forward looking analysis since 2000 especially. When he says it is a house of cards he is essentially warning us all. Be thankful that your business is doing well and use this purgatory before we go to reality time frame as a grace period for preparing yourself. Examine people's behavior in the midst of various types of collapses and (Katrina/LA Riots/Depression/Germany Inflationary Period etc...) and plan accordingly.

AMAZING

You just hit my thoughts 100%. This is like the "Eye" of the hurricane. Everything is going great, and everything is calm.....but then, all of a sudden...BOOM....we all get hit hard.

I like how you say "Grace Period".

I think you are right....my question is this?

When does the "Grace Period" end?

Attack on Iran? Gas at $ 10 a gallon? When?

What I tell people is

prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Nobody can predict the future with absolute certainty. Your stored food will not spoil (if done properly) and neither will your gold/silver. In other words, there is absolutely no reason not to prepare, as well as be more survivor oriented and independent in my opinion.

I agree 100% When I talked

I agree 100%

When I talked about investing in silver rather then leave the money in the bank people look at me as though I am crazy. It has to HIT HOME for us lazy Americans to bat an eyelash.

Its sad BUT that is the reason Ron wrote this book so WE don't have to TRY and explain it anymore.

"You don't believe me? read the book yourself THEN come back here and we can discuss it".

This simple reasoning has de-stressed me so much. Let the BOOK and their own mind come to the realization instead of US or Ron for that matter trying to yell it at them through the news.

The Revolution : A manifesto is much more powerful then I think the grassroots even realizes.

Don

http://www.RevolutionByMa... - Getting the manifesto into every delegates hand before the convention.

There's also very little

There's also very little knowledge of currency out there.

We have people on THIS site who swear up and down that we will soon have a deflationary cycle, and everyone with gold or silver coins should sell them.

SUPPORT OUR FOUNDERS' AMERICA
Support the Constitution of the United States

Thanks

I was going to order the book, but I thought it is the same old stuff that I already know. I am ordering it now from Amazon...as soon as I hit post on this comment. Thanks!

I keep warning people

and they look at me like a kook. But lately, I think they are starting to wonder if the kook might know something. They can fool people for quite awhile considering how clueless they are, but for me and my husband we are very nervous trying to save every penny we can. If nothing happens fine we will be alright is things go down well hopefully, we will be alright too. Peace

Yes

Keep calling me a "Kook". That is fine. Many people that I have tried to talk to over the past year have considered me a "Kook" because of my support of Ron Paul, and now they are saying....."Wow, maybe he wasn't such a kook after all."

I am proud to be a Ron Paul "KOOK"!!!!

My question is...

I will start off by saying that our Country is in a Recession, do not believe the Wallstreeters, our Federal Reserve, or our Government please. Do you live on the east coast or on the west coast? I know that a lot people on the west coast continue to travel, alot of them are either retired, or have those wonderful jobs that pay anywhere between $250,000.00-$500,000.00 a year either because they are in the film industry, or something to that effect, but I must add, a lot of those jobs are moving out of California, Yes, Hollywood is looking for a new home folks. The Governator Swartz is begging for them to stay. My husband and I take probably 2 trips a year which consists of either a 2 day stay, or possibly 3-4 day stay to the coast in Cambria, CA. and that is our vacation for the year. The rooms usually go for $250.00-$300.00 a night in a really nice beach front Condo, but we usually go off season, and get our rooms for $140.00-$200.00 a night. This year we will only be able to plan this trip once this year, we have a small business in Central California, our sales have been down 20% since 2006, as most small businesses in California, and we cannot afford to do this trip but once, the rooms have jumped to $250.00 plus a night during the off season. So we will do without, and just stay home.

I am

On the West Coast in Oregon. The rooms here are really cheap right now on Mid-week. Sun-Thurs. About $59 a night for a view only room, and about $95 a night for beach front. I guess we are lucky. All of this ends June 30th, because we come into prime season. Maybe fly up here to Oregon. Check out Lincoln City, or Seaside Oregon. Also, just across the river, is the best beaches, at Long Beach Washington. Could be a very inexpensive adventure as long as you plan on staying Sun-Thurs. :)

Whatever hyperinflationary

Whatever hyperinflationary thingamabob we are in now is actually worse than a recession. A real recession is a financial correction. We are in a steady downward spiral of the dollar with a crisis in consumer confidence.

Our corporate media and corporate government (is there a difference in the two anymore) are playing see no evil/hear no evil/speak no evil, a la "Hey--there are no sharks on our beaches!" But the public is seeing black fins circling out there in the surf.

If (when?) consumer spending on leisure, tourism and junk shuts down severely, our economy will hit a tipping point like the Titanic. With every nickel added to the price of gasoline, we advance steadily toward that tipping point.

SUPPORT OUR FOUNDERS' AMERICA
Support the Constitution of the United States

Well

Where is the tipping point? That is what I am asking? A breaking point for the average "Joe"? When and where is it?

When confidence tanks

When the market goes down sharply. When we cannot stop it. When the masses reach the fear point. We are not there yet, or Ron Paul would be number 1 in the polls. Probably shortly after the election. I think the elites want to keep hold on things until after the election and they get another one of their own in. They don't want to give us a reason to Vote Ron Paul.

I agree totally.

That's a good point. 70% of our economy is made up of consumer spending. That means everyone, not just the wealthy people with boats, must continue to consume. That simply won't be the case with more and more strain on people's pocketbooks as costs climb.

Remember that a recession is defined

as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. Businesses stop expanding, employment falls, house prices decline etc. I personally believe that we started this in December 2007, which means that here in May would be the end of the second quarter. Things are only just starting to sink in, and the wealthy (people with boats) would feel it last.

The question is whether or not the Fed and government tricks, like the stimulus package, bank new cash auctions etc. can hold things together for another economic go around before a total collapse. Things have a delayed effect in economics. Unfortunately, the dollar will not likely get any stronger and will continue to lose its purchasing power, which makes eventual economic demise unavoidable, even if it can be temporarily delayed. My prediction has always been that we won't make it to 2009, but if we do, that would almost certainly be the last year of lifespan for our inflationary economic system.

I believe something has to give...

and it will be our monetary system, it is doomed, and we as a nation will fail financially when that happens. I do believe the powers that be know this, and are in cahoots to usher in a new form of currency, but it will mean bringing Canada, and Mexico in, and form the Amero. Watch, and see, they will debase the dollar and have no other choice. We must not let this happen, we must tell our government to go back to a currency that is backed by a precious metal, or we are toast.

The problem with their

The problem with their definition of recession is that they'll just lie about the numbers.....They already don't include things that would make the "official" numbers look worse. Just look at all those minor things (like energy/fuel, food, etc) that are excluded from the govt's inflation numbers; that way they can WAY under-report inflation to our citizens.

It doesn't matter what their definition is, they'll just manipulate the numbers to fit their story.

Shop the fear away!

It's probably all denial...people get scared very easily nowadays. Remember how scared people were after 9/11? What did our president tell us to do? He told us to go out and shop and spend at the stores...shop the fear away.

You do realize right ?

Most people can't afford a boat that would require a 3000 dollar sound system. Yes the rich are getting richer while the poor are moving into Tents cities all over the country.

I do???

I own the store, and I would not put $3000 into a system right now. Gas at the boat dock is over $6 a gallon. I am just trying to get some insight on who is hurting? That is all.

Well........as somebody posted.......everyone may be in denial?

2 years ago, we would see 70% cash and 30% credit card....Now it has flipped to 70% Credit card and 30% cash. This is a big warning sign to me.

Thanks for your thoughts!

You have just seen zombies in the fog

I hope we can wake enough of them up, soon.

That

is what I am thinking.......

Is everyone just having fun on credit cards?

Yes, many are living on

Yes, many are living on credit cards.

I expect that the credit markets have just started to feel the pain....The foreclosure problem is not limited to sub-prime like many of the talking heads are saying. Look for the next wave of problems to come in from the consumer credit area.....you know, credit cards, boats, appliances, electronics, etc. If people will walk away from their homes, they'll damn sure walk away from a refrigerator.

Hang on...We're not done yet.

The people you were seeing

The people you were seeing are richer than the average joe's. The economy won't bother them until the dollar completely crashes and a loaf of bread will be a fair trade for their $50,000 boat.

Just this week

I was listening to a local news affiliate's traffic report. Seems that commute times are getting better due to fewer cars on the road. The talking heads were commenting on how "empty" the roads were at morning rush hour (not empty by normal standards, but by rush hour standards).

So yes, I do believe many are feeling it....But I have a feeling it's pretty much confined to the middle-class and downward; for upper-middle and up it's still probably do-able for a while.

I've personally changed my driving habits of late.