The silver (and gold) shortage
I was just wondering how many others here have been having difficulty in buying PHYSICAL silver and/or gold in the last few weeks?
My local precious metals dealer, who has been in business for thirty years, is basically out of almost ALL forms of silver and gold, for the first time ever --- and the premiums for what little he does have or can get are going through the roof! He is adamant in his assertions that he has seen NOTHING like the current situation, ever, and that every dealer around the country he has talked to is in the same position.
But oh yeah, the powers-that-be and the shills for the establishment (like their mole John Nadler of Kitco.com) keep insisting that everything is normal, and any talk of shortages is just "conspiracy theories". Hmmm, where have we heard those same excuses before?
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They why not find out if it's there and call for delivery?
Not necessarily, gold/silver can also be based on projected production. For example a mining company discovers a deposit of silver and estimates the load, but doesn't necessarily extract the product. They can use this to sell on the market. For many years silver was down which did not stimulate production, but companies still did exploration. Now with silver high, but the dollar low on the world market the cost to remove silver is higher than it would have been years ago. For example the minimum wage in Brazil was less than a hundred dollars a month 6 years ago at around $75 dollars, now it is around $250 dollars a month, so labor in dollars has more than doubled, but the price of gold/silver in Brazilian currency has not risen much, but the price of labor in Brazilian currency has risen by more than 400%.
grant
my local coin shop was
my local coin shop was closed today at 1 o clock ... i thought to myself wow why so early? it was odd ... i normally get my metals from www.monex.com and i haven't had any problems yet
Money has no value unless it circulates.
Buying real money, gold and silver, and just sitting on it does not push out the bad money. If you spend and circulate good money in your local communities on local goods and services you create local jobs with your money. If you convince others to accept gold and silver and they spend in on local goods and services they too will create local jobs. Eventually who would accept "bad money" FRNs?
As a matter of fact we don't have to accept FRNs for goods and services as long as we aren't owed debt. If someone wants to buy from me with FRNs I don't have to accept, I can sell to someone who has gold or silver. But gold and silver only have real generating value as money if it is used and accepted in the market. People need to start using it! You can always barter with it. If your silver is worth 13 dollars FRN today, then use it to purchase $13 FRN on the market, probably even ask for a discount of 20-30% by purchasing will real money. Put a sign up in your store or business saying 10-20% discount if you pay in gold or silver. You will have removed goods and services from the market when you pay with gold and silver and will make FRNs less valuable.
We just have to reverse Gresham's law and drive bad money out with good money.
Gresham's law is commonly stated: "Bad money drives out good."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gresham's_Law
Keep the pressure on.
Buy silver and trade in coins. Don't use or accept FRNs whenever possible and cut up those credit cards.
grant
Wall Street Journal reports on Eagle shortage.
This article has been edited due to its length. It was emailed to me and I have no link, sorry.
**********
The Eagle Has Been Grounded
Mint Halts Gold-Coin Sales After Supply Depleted Amid Price Drop
By Ianthe Jeanne Dugan
The Wall Street Journal
Thursday, August 21, 2008
As gold prices tumbled from their highest level ever, investors and collectors loaded up on one-ounce "American eagle" gold-bullion coins. The buying spree came to an abrupt halt this week after the U.S. Mint stopped selling the coins for the first time since production began 20 years ago.
"Due to the unprecedented demand ... our inventories have been depleted," the Mint -- part of the U.S. Treasury Department -- told its dealers Friday. "We are therefore temporarily suspending all sales of these coins..."
The Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee [GATA], an advocacy group, said the Mint's move proved financial institutions are colluding to set prices.
"The suspension is overwhelming evidence ... that the commodities exchanges are being used ... as part of a massive scheme of manipulation of the precious metals, currency, and bond markets," the group wrote on its Web site.
___________
Lisa C.
www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President
Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com
Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com
Don't collect, spend to generate the local economy for services.
I'm wrong, the newly issued $1 presidential coins weight 8.10 g and are 77% copper. Whereas a copper penny weighs 3.11 g and is 95% copper, so the $1 presidential coin has less than 3 cents worth of copper and is probably worth about 3 cents. Spend them on local goods and services.
grant
The reason they only mint coins with small values.
You see the U.S. government wants to play us for fools, they issue some coins with presidents on them wanting us to collect them. If we throw them in a jar or mount them on the wall they lose all generating value to fuel the economy. So far, close to $1 billion dollars of presidential $1 coins have been issued. This means that if we don't use them that 1 billion dollars has been removed from the economy with a coin that probably costs at most 20cents for the U.S. mint to mint. Each time we circulate each and every coin just once it generates 1 billion dollars in the economy. And this is just by using newly issued $1 coins. The more you circulate the coins the more the economy runs without the use of FRNs.
grant
Carry a conversion table when trading.
Not if you use converted values. A truely silver dollar can trade on the market for more than 12 dollars. I have used them to do lots of trading. But we don't even have to use the gold and silver coins, since their are plenty of coins to trade with as it is. We have gone from the gold standard in the minting of coins to the copper standard. On an average year their are around 6,800,000 tons of copper mined in the world, where as there is about 1,400 tons of gold mined in the world every year. That means for every ounce of gold there is close to 5,000 ounces of copper. Regardless if the copper is use industrially, it is still brought above ground. I imagine if less homes are being built that there will be less demand for copper wiring in new homes as an example of possible future over supply. Since the new presidential dollars are made mostly of copper and not even an ounce they are far less valuable than a silver dollar.
grant
Must have gotten lucky for a change:
I just received an email saying that my order was shipped today.
I was watching it drop a little while back and decided to get more silver oz.s to offset what I had spent earlier this year at a bit higher price. No sooner than I ordered it, it came down a little more and within a couple of hours, you couldn't find a one ounce silver round anywhere and that's about the way it's been since. I feel like I got lucky and they are even sending it about five days sooner then promised. I'm glad I hit it when I did.
I love my country
I am appalled by my government
Hey Tramp
first time I seen your signature - I love it!
I love my coutry
I am appalled by my government!
!!!Truth is treason in the EMPIRE OF LIES!!!
Thank you:
I just call em as I see em.
I love my country
I am appalled by my government
Hey akak
(and all others interested in physical metal). The following article describes why the shortage affects the investment market, while not making its way into the jewelry or industrial markets (yet).
http://news.silverseek.co...
A good read if you are interested in preserving your financial wealth and freedom. Of course, if you are one of the ignorant statist pukes that are unwilling to crawl out of jon nadler's ass long enough to smell reality, you may one to skip this one.
e....That's a good article
e....That's a good article on silerseek, thanks for posting, at least it makes much more sense than most concerning the "shortage".
No problem, Republicae
I have a pm thread over here.
http://forums.libertylove...
check it out if you are interested.
Experiencing a coordinated attack on owning precious metals?
The big boys are dumping their reserves on the open market to keep the prices down, whereas this raises the possibility of the dealers taking a loss if they sell it to consumers after what they paid for it (a lot more then current prices). This, in effect forces the dealers to cry "shortage" to buy themselves time, thus discouraging would-be precious metal consumers from engaging in owning and trading honest money.
There is a silver and gold
There is a silver and gold coin shortage, but look at the markets, an actual silver or gold metal shortage would be reflected in the futures markets, its not happening. Just be in a position to profit from the movement, either way.
how many ounces of silver
how many ounces of silver are sold short? how many ounces of silver are in the comex??? no shortage of metal?
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
I contract is 5,000 ounces.
www.gata.org
They would be the group to go to for more info. on the manipulation. It's all they do.
___________
Lisa C.
www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President
Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com
Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com
Do you mean in the Comex
Do you mean in the Comex warehouse? Do you mean in the CBOT? Do you mean how many contracts are traded? I mean what do you mean? Are you talking about net positions?
I mean it depends on what you are asking. Any given day those numbers will naturally change and are based upon contracts, since each contract on the Comex is quantified in 5000 troy ounce increments, so are you talking about floor sessions or electronic sessions or both? Now are you talking about calls or puts, futures or options? If so, then what contract month and year are you talking about?
There has been an ongoing deficit between demand and supply in silver for over a decade, that is not necessarily an indication of a shortage of metal, but there are numerous other factors involved in this current "shortage" of coin.
Once again, the futures and options market are not showing signs that would indicate a shortage in the physical metal itself.
That might be because they rarely, if ever, take delivery.
___________
Lisa C.
www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President
Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com
Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com
I agree, most contracts are
I agree, most contracts are either liquidated or rolled over into the next month.
but thats going to change as
but thats going to change
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
What do you mean that is
What do you mean that is going to change? If there is no need for delivery because you are speculating in the market, not needing the silver that backs the contract. I mean where is your logic?
Correct me if I'm wrong SIERRA,
but I think what you're saying is that we are going to see an increase on the non-paper side with buyers taking delivery of their contracts. Yes?
___________
Lisa C.
www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President
Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com
Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com
its going to change because
its going to change because how is a person going to spend a contract? who wants to be holding a promise to pay as a depression is unfolding.. and when people sart figuring it out that the silver isn't there they will want it.. you need to read butler he explains it much beterr then I ever could.. for your own sake READ BUTLER~
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
Listen Sierrahpbt, I have
Listen Sierrahpbt, I have read Butler for years, and he has taken a similar position for years. What do you mean "how is a person going to spend a contract"? If there is a depression unfolding, particularly if it is an inflationary depression as Dr. Paul is anticipating then the best thing to hold is a contract that will increase in value. Even if there is a shortage of silver then the thing you would want to to be in a position to profit from it by placing numerous call options on silver.
So, like I said, I have read Butler and I have also been trading in silver, gold, copper, etc. for the two decades and believe me the last thing any trader wants to do is risk money he doesn't have to.
how many ounces are short on
how many ounces are short on the COT? now how many ounces are in the comex? the shorts are NAKED! they can not cover there positions.. Read Butler! ofcourse the futures market is not showing a shortage this is what they are scared to death of!
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
That's not even logical, if
That's not even logical, if they were scared to death then we would immediately see it in the market. Well, if that is the case I would have to question the rationale of those who, on today's market, for instance, have nearly 60,000 contracts for Dec 2008 delivery at $13.86 or to take it out farther those who have contracts all the way out to 2013 with a price of $15.68 at a high. There is absolutely no rationale for anyone who is aware, as all professional, industrial and institutional traders would be, of an actual shortage. It they were and still risked billions of dollars on such contracts then that would be against everything that they are doing in the market.
Not only would they be risking billions of dollars in the market itself, but in the case of institutional and industrial traders who might depend on silver to use in the production of various products, they would be risking an enormous profit loss due to higher prices of silver due to a shortage, but they are not buying contracts or options that would indicate there is such a problem. The problem that people are seeing seems to be limited in the silver coinage market, silver is still too cheap for the refiners to make a good profit on at this point, but gold it profitable to refine.
Now, on the options side of the futures market the highest strike price is $25 for December delivery, even that price doesn't reflect a massive shortage in the metal or on the market.
Still, you are not asking me something is clear enough to give an answer. I mean you say short in the market, but do you mean covered shorts or naked shorts?
I mean the record was set back in July when over 200,000,000 ounces were traded at a value of $3,514,052,696.00.
Now, let's talk shortages, go back to the 70s and you will see shortages that would make the last 15 years of shortage pale in comparison.
http://www.investmentrari...
http://www.investmentrari...
start here and research! he can answer your questions better then me!
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
Read it again SIERRAHPBT,
Read it again SIERRAHPBT, Butler is saying, just like I have been saying, that there is a shortage and it is in the retail market. There are several reasons for this, one is the lack of profit for refiners in silver, the other is that so many people are demanding silver coin.
Europe
There are shortages here in Germany as well (silver and gold coins).
A bank told me today that the gold krueger rands we`re sold out "europe wide" and that they never had that before. That sounds exgerated too me (I think you can still by krueger rands), but it is very odd indeed.
Why don`t you US-Paulites organize a couple of "Silver Bombs"? Everybody purchases one ounce of silver on specific days?
It`d be really interesting to see whether this scares the Big Banks or not.
I`d love to know who is right on the so called "conspiracy theories" on naked shorts etc.
--------------------------------------
europe4ronpaul.blogspot.com
Hasta la libertad, siempre ;-)
Silver bomb
That's a really interesting idea indeed....
See if we can move the markets? Are there enough of us? Are we that powerful?
I'm in for $100.
My Shelfari page
Jason Hommell
is calling for everyone to visit their local coin shop at 2pm on Sept 2.
We will all be at the Rally!
We will all be at the Rally!
They steal metals, pump the price, and sell them back to us
Soon the price will be set lower so they can buy metals back from us...or like during WWII, order us to give up metals.
God. Quit being morons.
A couple years ago, metals suddently started to be pushed on all medias...do you know how much money it takes to pay for such a massive advertising blitz?! It's a government-level pump-n-dump scam.
And are they selling 100% gold or silver? Nope. Most of it is crap. And later, when you try to sell it, they will tell you that it is crap.
Do you want to invest in something? Try land, education, health.
get an education.. you do
get an education.. you do not know of what you speak! I can't believe how many public school idiots we have on this forum! and those idiots still have not got over there public school economics brainwashings!
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
Written about a month ago...
This is the best article on the economy I've seen yet !!
http://www.planetaryascen...
yup...
i like bob chapman. he tells it like it is.
prepare as best you can...cuz it's coming
RON PAUL IS MY PRESIDENT
Can't get silver here either at the price I was quoted
However, I called another dealer outside of my city and I asked about availability. He said I cannot get you anything at this price level.
Even though I had no intentions of doing so, I asked him what if I was willing to pay $20.00. He said, well that's a different story, I can get all you want at that price. I bet the hell he can. What a friggin scam.
what do you mean scam...
what do you mean scam... that is the price that people who have are willing to sell it for.. the spot price on kitco is not the true price of physical metal.. its the paper price.. the paper price is the only thing they can manipulate now! scam my butt its the free market working you can't see that?
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
My local Dealer
Is out........but I am having no problem with buying from Bullion Direct. Good prices in my opinion.
And look at the Ebay price....still $18 to $20 per oz. This is the real price in my opinion.....What is it woth in Federal Reserve Notes...??
Awww YEAH
Bump for AKAK
where do you guys think all
where do you guys think all this silver and gold is?? who has it? who has been buying when the price was low? the dealers don't have it so where is it? why would they be getting as much as they can? think its the people who rig elections? the ones who rig the stock market? what do they know that most of you don't?
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
i think there's a good
i think there's a good chance that they are sitting on it. could be they may take a loss at these prices.
RON PAUL IS MY PRESIDENT
nope they know its going to
nope they know its going to explode! they know where the economy is going.. they know who is going to be the next president... they know which banks are going to fail.. they know how low and when the dollar will reume its collapse! they are buying real money with fake paper dollars that they issue to us lowlifes while they take the premium stuff.. better get yours!
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
Not attacking, just asking
This is not an attack on silver, I am just looking for some answers, silver and precious metals in general a supposed to be a hedge against inflation (not a money maker like the stock market) but I was looking at the price of silver over the last 20 years (see link) and it seems that it has not gone up except in the last 5 years - why is this with the dollar losing 2 to 4% , shouldn't silver gain atleast that much a year (because of its real value)? And why has the price jumped up so much since 2003 since it was level or a loser from 1993 till then?
http://www.maoxian.com/im...
your answer.... READ TED
your answer.... READ TED BUTLER!
www.investmentrarities.co...
as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD
Silver a loser 15 out of the last 20 years?
Sorry, in my post I was wrong-Actually silver was a loser from 1989 to 2003 - does anyone have charts longer then 20 years??? Silver has only gained since 2003, why is this?
Why silver and gold were losers for so long
In an ideal world gold and silver would just move with inflation and provide the perfect hedge. In the real world, when inflation is low and the stock market is booming, people sell their gold and silver and invest in the stock market, which can go up a lot faster than inflation. So gold and silver go down in nominal terms, and down even faster after adjusting for inflation. Then you have a period where the stock market goes nowhere (like the past 8 years) and people start to notice inflation again, and the burgeoning deficits, so they flee to gold and silver. In a few years the gold and silver prices make up for the past 20 years of stagnation. That's why gold and silver have been going up so fast since the early part of this decade.
I don't really know how the current precious metals boom is going to play out. The last time this happened (in the 70s) high inflation and the gold boom didn't end until Volker sent interest rates up into the high double digits. And even so, it helped that we still had trade surpluses and a federal deficit under $100 billion. Now the federal government has a vastly higher debt load, the federal deficit is $600 billion (if you don't steal from social security), and the trade deficit is $700 billion. With the current debt load 15% interest rates would kill the government as well as anybody paying a variable rate loan. So the Volker solution ain't gonna happen. That's why I predict much worse inflation than we had in the 70s.
So the last five years have
So the last five years have been catch up to the true price of silver (or atleast a truer price)? Seems to make sense, and with what seems to be the eminent collapse of the dollar it makes sense to buy into something thats value is accepted the world over. Ok thank you for explaining that to me.