We have our work cut out for us: Palin, Romney, Jindal lead for '12 in new Zogby scientific poll
Okay, folks, the good news is that we have about two years to gain ground, before the 2012 campaign ramps up.
Of note, thanks to Bob for the link, over 16% of respondents were "Not Sure" who they support in 2012. That is also good news.
Zogby: Palin Top 2012 Contender
Monday, December 1, 2008 2:07 PM
Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is the slight favorite of Republican voters as the best candidate the party could run for President in 2012. When all voters are asked that questions, Palin falls into a three-way tie with Mitt Romney and Bobby Jindal.
Those are among the findings of a Zogby Interactive poll of 24,964 voters conducted from Nov. 7-18. The margin of error for the entire sample is +/-0.6 percent.
Voters were offered the choices of Palin, former Massachusetts Gov. Romney, Louisiana Gov. Jindal, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, Texas Rep. Ron Paul and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani. All but Palin and Jindal were candidates for the 2008 nomination. Voters also could choose someone else.
Palin led among Republicans with 24.4 percent of the vote, followed by Romney with 18 percent, and Jindal with 15.6 percent. Among all voter, all three were in a virtual dead head, each sharing between 13 and 12 percent of the sampling. Rounding out the field in single digits were Huckabee, Giuliani, and Paul.
Palin's strength is with all conservatives, conservative religious voters and gun owners. Among Republicans, she gets the support of 30 percent of Born-Again Christians, 32 percent of weekly churchgoers, 34 percent of National Rifle Association members, 28 percent of current gun owners and 29 percent of self-identified conservatives. More GOP support comes from 32 percent of blue collar workers, 30 percent who shop weekly at Wal-Mart, 28 percent of NASCAR fans and 25 percent of both those with children under 17 and those with family members in the military. She scores lower among GOP voters ages 18-29, with 15 percent.
Romney's Republican support level is very consistent across demographic groups. Among his party members, Romney's numbers fall off by a few points from his overall 18.1 percent with religious conservatives and gun owners. Surprisingly, Palin leads Romney among Republican investors, 24 percent to 20 percent.
There are no highs or lows among subgroups for Jindal among Republicans. He is a newcomer to national politics, and already has a reasonable base of GOP support.
Palin looks to be stealing Huckabee's thunder among Republican religious conservatives and working class voters. Huckabee is an ordained Southern Baptist minister, and his highest GOP totals still come from Born-Again Christians (15 percent) and weekly churchgoers (18 percent), but those numbers are about half of those drawn by Palin. Despite his populist economic message, he wins only 10 percent of blue collar Republicans.
The interesting finding about Paul is that he is more popular among all voters than he is among Republicans, reinforcing his appeal as a potential third party candidate.
Pollster John Zogby: "While someone other than those we listed could still emerge as Republican contender, GOP voters seem satisfied with this group. Only 8.2 percent would choose someone else. Despite all of the bad press and late night TV parody of Palin, she still leads the pack. So it is hard to see what could shake the faith of her supporters going forward. If she chooses to run, that solid base would likely keep her in the race through the early primaries. Both Romney and Jindal have appeal to Republicans, with Jindal having the advantage of being the new guy who could bring change to the party."
© 2008 Newsmax. All rights reserved.
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Zogby is cut from the same cloth as Luntz.
Just another corporate fascist that has no interest in anything moral or responsible. The DNC/RNC suppress anything except big government and the military industrial complex. The last elections were a massive travesty in abuse of the first amendment. The media cartel blathered about religious leaders that should have lost their tax exempt status and propped up a class of corrupt FED printed politicians. The real issues are hidden. Where was the reporting on Condi's education from Allbright's father? How about the 500m Allbright hedge fund or the criminal actions of Rubin? How about the political use of the FBI to get Spitzer.. It never ceases to amaze me how Spitzer who exposed Grasso on 130m buy out package never got the attention of some sort of titillation story. Like the Waco/Oklahoma City story, or Congress subsidizing housing where we have carpenters making more than scientist. Where is the outrage in education where we train people to play with other people's money instead of creating and inventing? The politicians blamed the sub-prime Yea right! How about the politically connected criminals from the realtor's to the bankers and private equity firms that blew up debt without regard to income/cash flow.... The shame is we just have more of the same coming.. Major Neo-con's, New York FED guys....It seem that that if you question decency, small government, and freedom your are some sort of wacko... Yes it seems the Goebbels wave the flag imperialist don't see anything wrong with arming Georgia, invading a country by opposing anything Thomas Aquinas preached including universal truths on the nature of reality, humanity or consciousness including "just war". Sorry about the Ted Kaczynskii rant but PLEASE these pollsters issues that make the country focus on meaningless divisive issues are an insult to intelligence. So Zogby is pushing a corrupt Governor/tv reporter/air head/ a FED printed money for Bain, corrupt Governor/father car company bailout/airhead, and an unknown Governor....THIS IS SCIENTIFIC PLEASE! WE SHOULD ADD ZOGBY TO THE F*CK YOU FRANK CALL. I pray/hope/wish that we can leave it better for the future and stop the moral and financial bankruptcy imposed by usury, bad policies and intrusive warfare, welfare government .
Rudy Guliani was the
Rudy Guliani was the republican odds on favorite 2 years ago.
Really
Palin is so Dan Qualesque. After the turkey taping debacle, amongst other things, how can anyone take her seriously? Has anybody asked her to spell a simple word yet?
It’s just a silly online poll.
--Cliff, Sioux City, Iowa
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Secret key to happiness: Stay happy. Shhh!
A Wink and A Nod: See WND poll
http://forums.wnd.com/ind...
See WND Poll Final(?) Results?
Ron Paul is #ONE:)
"THE RIGHT FUTURE"
"Who will be the strongest republican leader by 2012?
Ron Paul with 854 votes.
Now wait a minute
The poll I saw listed Paris Hilton in a dead tie with Sarah Palin. It was a brain-dead tie, but a tie nonetheless. Coming up close behind was Anna Nicole Smith -- but she'd have to have someone stand in for her during the campaign.
Personally, I'm waiting for the results of the IQ tests to see if I can discern any difference.
So I ended up going with Ron Paul, of course, and apparently they thought my answer was Sarah Palin. They're both so similar, you know, as far as knowledge and comprehension on all political and economic matters, answering questions without going in complete nonsensical circles, brain capacity, voting record, etc.
But as Forrest Gump says, Stupid is as Stupid Does. There's a lot of that going around today, and in fact, it is encouraged.
I wasn't asked
The GOP never seems to learn does it?
No, and those who think the GOP is redeemable don't either.
Four years or forty. The party isn't going to change. If it was going to, you'd know it now, because they would be apologizing to paleoconservatives and libertarians, and asking Ron Paul's advice. They are doing no such thing and have learned nothing from Election Day one month ago.
SUPPORT OUR FOUNDERS' AMERICA
Support the Constitution of the United States
Oh Please!!!!!!!!!!!!!! There is no way this will hold any
water until 2012. There is a WHOLE lot of "stuff" that will happen between now and then. I wouldn't worry about it now...........
Your "conscience" is the measure of the honesty of your selfishness. ~Richard Bach
CNN has spoken: Palin is a "top-tier" candidate for 2012
http://politicalticker.bl...
"Palin has declined to say whether she is officially interested in seeking the 2012 GOP presidential nomination, but has left open the possibility. Palin's popularity among the party's base and firmly established name-recognition would likely mean instant top-tier status should she decide to throw her hat into the ring."
The bottom line is....
Ron Paul's IDEAS are still not receiving the respect and attention that they deserve.
If more people were aware of the these truths, I would'nt be nearly as concerned about the beauty contest; especially this early in the cycle.
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Money As Debt
http://www.youtube.com/wa...
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I wouldn't bother. We tried
I wouldn't bother.
We tried the national thing. We failed badly.. I'm not really certain I want to try again.
Instead I'm trying the local thing. The Free State Project intends to "Break the Matrix" as it's said from the bottom up, not the top down in New Hampshire.
Find out more at http://freestateproject.o...
And you know... you can still do the national thing from New Hampshire and it is also where the first primaries for our favorite candidate will be in 2012.
We're painted in a corner politically.
All we can hope to do running in the GOP is educate. Stealing a seat or two out of 535 with "Ron Paul Republicans" won't do squat to institute change. The odds of winning the White House are bleak, especially considering the amount of sabotage from within party ranks we can expect. Also, if you don't believe in vote tampering and vote hacking during the primaries, you are a good candidate for the Tooth Fairy.
Third Parties are, I hate to say, no better a place to run. Without a billionaire sugar daddy to pave the way through the obstacles, it's impossible to win the White House with a Third party, and the White House is where a Third Party needs to concentrate its efforts the most.
In both cases the odds are against us. I don't think that means we should give up. But perhaps realize what odds we are up against.
SUPPORT OUR FOUNDERS' AMERICA
Support the Constitution of the United States
Well, that's also what the
Well, that's also what the Campaign for Liberty is all about.
Teaching your local Precinc, and City/town about Liberty.
Tracy
I called the Chairman of the local...
GOP recently and he told me that there isn't a lot of interest in the local GOP Executive Committee. He told me that they will be meeting two Monday's from now and they need to fill 42 positions. The odd thing about this is that where I live it's an almost total republican county so I will be going along with 20 other "republicans" who supported Ron Paul and support the Campaign For Liberty. The only thing he knows about me is that I am a lifelong republican. We are going after the "change we need" here in Pennsylvania. Next stop is the planning committee. WE WILL NOT STOP!
I Salute You
It may not be exciting, but the revolution will only be won by rolling up our sleeves and doing work of this kind. Kudos to you for maintaining your resolve.
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"Make the lie big, make it simple, keep saying it, and eventually they will believe it." -- Joseph Goebbels
Don't be distracted by this noise!
The GOP is running around with it's hair on fire, just clinging onto any glimmer of hope out there. Naturally, they are going to look at Palin, Romney, and Jindal. The GOP is looking for a horse to run, any horse, just to make it look like the party is still unified and relevant.
What we need to be focused on is building the C4L into a lasting movement. Get involved, attend and support your local chapter. Get involved with a party, any party, and push for Liberty. Personally, I will take my lead from RP and stay involved in the Republican party. Here in Texas, the state convention had about 35% Ron Paul delegates. I think, with enough recruiting and a low 2010 midterm election/convention turnout, we could have 51% of the Texas delegates. At that point, the Texas Republican party is ours, we can vote out the party leadership that ignored us, and we can get some real work done.
All of the rest of the stuff you hear in the MSM is just noise. Ignore it.
What kind of money
..Does Palin have? Where did she get this money? Did she raise money during her VP campaign and has been able to keep it? Or are we implying that she will be able to raise lots of money? Clarify please.
It's thinking like this that
It's thinking like this that will keep the Republican Party in the basement for the next 8 years. Palin? J.F.C.!
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Truther?
No, sir!
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http://libertarianwiki.or...
If Only That Were So
________________________________________________
"Make the lie big, make it simple, keep saying it, and eventually they will believe it." -- Joseph Goebbels
Oh, it's so
Palin vs. Obama in 4 years? Don't make me laugh.
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Truther?
No, sir!
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http://libertarianwiki.or...
Never underestimate the stupidity of the GOP
I think Sarah Palin is generally decent and has done generally well in local politics, but there is no way in hades that I think she ought to be President....unless she recognizes her own policy failings and choose to undergoe several years of in-depth indoctrination by the Master himself, Dr. Paul, and were to pass with his stamp of approval.
- -
Get your own "Ron Paul for Treasury Secretary" bumper sticker at
http://www.cafepress.com/...
I would not expect a lot of
I would not expect a lot of "soul searching" done on her part. She is a poison to the intellect.
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Truther?
No, sir!
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http://libertarianwiki.or...
I never said I expect it to happen
Just politely outlining what it would take to get me to support her. Kinda like Ron Paul always answered that he was open to supporting McCain, if McCain would change all of his positions. LOL.
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Get your own "Ron Paul for Treasury Secretary" bumper sticker at
http://www.cafepress.com/...
That's an awfully big
That's an awfully big qualifier. ;)
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Have a good laugh:
http://en.wikipedia.org/w...
That's part of Dr. Paul's charm
that disarms us and makes us like him that much more. LOL.
- -
Get your own "Ron Paul for Treasury Secretary" bumper sticker at
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We NEED Money Bombs NOW.
We NEED to set up our very own R3VOLutionary PAC account and do a MONEY BOMB Now....
We NEED to set it up so it becomes a huge amount of money, far more than what Palin or Romney has.
That will make our R3VOLution a presidential race issue in the Media, the Main Stream Media. (MSN)
The MSM will take note of this large pool of money and continually ask,
"Who will the R3volution support for 2012?"
And we need to set it up so that we decide who gets it in 2011's Presidential Race.
I do not know how we can keep this money separate from Ron Paul's Campaign For Liberty.
I do not know how we can keep this money separate from Jesse Ventura or Gov Gary Johnson's campaigns either.
But what I do know and understand is that that if WE CREATE the MONEY POOL, they --- Politicians & MSM will come knocking on our door.
May I suggest we set up a PAC that has with it a $200 contribution limit rule per person. Furthermore, a $200 contribution = One Vote on who to run as the R3VOLution's Presidential candidate.
May I further suggest we make it so that it is all OPEN. That is, open to checking, open books, open software, open to all sorts of verification by anyone.
May I further suggest that we draft 10 Goals of the R3VOLution.
May I further suggest that any presidential candidate who gets awarded the funds swear to those 10 goals of the R3volution.
If we could do that, we could make OURSELVES a huge FACTOR in the GOP race to the White House.
If we could do that, we could make and give the "winner" of the R3VOLution's Presidential race PAC money huge HUGE MSM exposure.
Those are just some ideas, ... please make them your own. Please feel free to act on them and do something with them.
In Peace & Liberty,
Treg
2012=Massacre Round 2
i'm calling it now
I actually took this poll
And I did not claim to be a republican but did say Paul should be the republican nominee. I am sure there are alot of people in that catagory, which explains his 3% among Reps but 7% overall.
If Paul or someone like him is running as a republican, then I will definately be voting in the Rep primary, so his number would be higher than 3%.
The GOP has not suffered enough....
Drop them to 30 Senators in 2010 (if there ARE elections in 2010) and you might see some serious movement in our direction.
If sounds as if the MSM moguls are bleeding green. It's time for some really major hit pieces on Sumner Redstone, Jeff Immelt, Edgar Bronfman, etc. Hit them for as long and as hard as you can and drag down their revenues. If you make the cost of doing business too high for them, you have toehold, and that's better than nothing.
Headed for a Worse Defeat in 2012..
They are banking on a Obama Failure and on nothing else.
No new ideas. No plan own up to their lack of integrity.
Still sticking to the same "social conservative" line to justify bigotry and murder by consent. Check out Rebuild the Party suggestions. What a Joke. These people are clueless and don't realize how many people who used to be republican will no longer stand for their religous sharia ideology.
My prediction. GOP loses by a wider margin and loses more seats.
Things could go relitavely well under Obama. Cerainly better than the last 4 years of Bush.
Goodbye GOP..
One Voice, One Vision, One Love ~ Liberty.
Good Thoughts, Good Words , Good Deeds.
That is the Ron Paul rEVOLution Creed.
One Louv. ;-)..
I think you're right about
I think you're right about the 'Banking on Obama Failure'.
As there's no way things will go well under Obama, the main issue with that strategy, is that, with the MSM almost exclusively Obamaniacs, all that goes wrong will still get blamed on Bush.
If the economic picture continue to deteriorate to the point where even a united 'Blame Bush' strategy runs out of steam, Romney, with his supposed Midas touch may have a shot next time.
If higher crime, taxes and more regional divisiveness comes out of this, Palin, seen as representing a return to simpler, less corrupt and elitist ways, might have a chance.
And I simply don't know enough about Jindal, other than some seem to hail him as the GOP's most direct answer to Obama.
For Ron Paul to actually win, I suspect things will have to get bad enough so that George Soros goes belly up, and his old pal Jim Rogers gains universal guru status. A huge problem is that, since every other country out there are pursuing exactly the same bankrupt Keynesian policies as us, even if we go to hell, there is nowhere else to look for evidence of a better way.
The GOP is now mainly made
The GOP is now mainly made of idiots. They still don't get it. They don't get that people actually voted against Bush, not just "for" Obama. They think they can stick another "ethnic" candidate in a race (Jindal, who is Indian) and come up with a winner? This is the same birdbrain thinking that led to McCain picking Palin... stick a woman in there, one who is young and inexperienced and can be manipulated by the party leaders as a counter-measure to Hillary voters. Holy crap. What a disgrace.
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Truther?
No, sir!
.................
http://libertarianwiki.or...
Yes, But Obama Will Not Be Blamed..
The economy doesn't have to do good, just not fall apart. The market will probably "mellow" a little for at least 18 months possibly 24 so 2010 doesn't look good for the GOP "old guard" aka theocrats. Everyone is prepped for a great depression or worse so if that does not happen then Obama is a savior. He might even handle forieng policy well.
No one knows , they are hoping and praying on the flip of a coin. That isn't a strategy that evokes confidence or really gives a vison for anyone to rally around.
The Republican Party Subconscious Platform..
"Republican Women are prettier and G-d likes us better because we are so moral so let us run your lives and sacrifice your money and children for G-d in his plan for manking revealed to us, your kings and prophets of the lord. Anyone, who believes otherwise is a heretic and the reason America is declining. They do not have our great morality and wisdom.
The Republicans ~ the Party of G-d, of Social Morality, The preservers of everything good , holy and decent in the world." Amen.
Heil Huck..Heil Huck...Heil Huck...
The bar for Obama is very low. If his walk is more conservative than his talk, (it appears to be) and everyones fears of rampant socialism does not come to fruition we could see Democrats in office for 3 terms or more.
Ironically Obama could actually be the one to trim government waste in social programs. A socialist beign fiscally conservative to advance socialism is more ironic than Andrew Jackson on a $5 bill.
One Voice, One Vision, One Love ~ Liberty.
Good Thoughts, Good Words , Good Deeds.
That is the Ron Paul rEVOLution Creed.
One Louv. ;-)..
I think you are most likely
I think you are most likely right about Obama. The downturn started a few months too early for Bush not to get most of the blame. But never over estimate the attention spans Joe America. While the MSM will likely blame Bush for all that goes wrong in the coming century, their credibility really isn't all that in most circles, and four years from now, many may only remember Obama was the one who promised to 'fix' stuff, but didn't deliver.
If the GOP is serious about
If the GOP is serious about Palin, we can officially mark them as brain dead.
http://federalfallacy.blo...
Yes, McCain Was Much Better
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"Make the lie big, make it simple, keep saying it, and eventually they will believe it." -- Joseph Goebbels
Palin? Not a chance.
Sarah Palin will be a has been long before 2012. I doubt she will win re-election. There will be plenty of other things going on between now and then that will have people looking for someone with a brain. Palin is a non-issue.
GOP Looking For Someone With A Brain?
Did they announce they were going in a new direction? That would seem to have disqualified McCain and, for 2012, the rest of the above field as well.
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"Make the lie big, make it simple, keep saying it, and eventually they will believe it." -- Joseph Goebbels
Good Luck
Good luck to you all with that one, but I have given up on the GOP. After hours of meetings at my local REC -- hours that consisted mainly of 'Islamo-homophobia' -- I realized that I have little if anything in common with these sad-rags. The GOP of today is being run by maniacs, sociopaths, and pro-torture deviants.
hmmm think about it
the neocons have been discredited and some of them have already returned to the Dems, by endorsing Obama. I do believe the situation is dynamic and people may change. The GOP has traditionally been more the pro-peace party, and they may find out that if they return to their roots, e.g. also providing them with more "bullets" against the Dems, they will have a good chance at winning. Have patience, this is not a process of only a few days or weeks, but months.
Also: more revelations about Bush/CHney and the war could come out in the next few months and help in the urge of getting away from Bush as far as possible.
what i learned in 2008:
f**k the GOP! I have never been treated so horribly in my life. They can have their deflating party.
How in god's name
How in god's name could these people be considered, the Republican party obviously has learned almost nothing. If I have to see another charade election I swear, I am going to truly revolt.
"It is the responsibility of the patriot to protect his country from its government."
— Thomas Paine
This site has more names
It does not have Paul, but they do list Johnson.
http://race42008.com/2008...
True, but do they conduct scientific polling?
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Get your own "Ron Paul for Treasury Secretary" bumper sticker at
http://www.cafepress.com/...
the "scientific polling"
worked out well, not true? Giuliani vs. Clinton with Paul at 0,5%
How scientific is it to still poll Giuliani at double of Paul, while Paul demolished Giuliani in most primary states?
How well did all of those internet polls predict the results?
ya know, the ones that showed Ron Paul with 30-50% ;-)
- -
Get your own "Ron Paul for Treasury Secretary" bumper sticker at
http://www.cafepress.com/...
LOL
Giuliani at around double Paul's percentage, even while Paul demolished him in the real primaries. Do not worry about this. This will not be the focus for now, perhaps relevant 100 days into Obama's admin. Paul will and should not announce any presidential run in the next few months, it would be way premature. He mentioned he would make a decision in about mid next year. This poll also does not include Gary Johnson, who is interested to run (probably if Dr. Paul does not run).
The poll also does not include Mark Sanford, while it does has Bobby Jindal, who indicated himself he is not interested in it now, but rather on being a good gov. and reelection in 2011.
I'm not worried
but it is interesting in that it is apparently the first scientific poll, with such a large pool, of this sort. Interesting is all it is, really.
- -
Get your own "Ron Paul for Treasury Secretary" bumper sticker at
http://www.cafepress.com/...